Humana Reports Second Quarter 2015 Financial Results; Reaffirms 2015 Financial Guidance
-
2Q 2015 EPS of
$2.85 includes$1.18 of gain related to sale of Concentra -
2Q 2015 Adjusted EPS of
$1.67 excludes the Concentra 2Q 2015 gain and compares to management’s guidance of$1.60 to $1.65 -
Reaffirmed full-year 2015 EPS guidance of approximately
$9.28 or$7.75 on an Adjusted basis (excluding the year-to-date gain on sale of Concentra of$1.53 per share) -
2Q 2015
Medicare Advantage utilization seen as stabilizing and tracking with management’s revised expectations - Actions taken to improve profitability of individual commercial and state-based contracts businesses
The company has included certain adjusted financial measures throughout this earnings press release. Adjusted pretax income and Adjusted EPS for 2Q 2015 and 1H 2015 were as follows (a):
|
Consolidated pretax income (in millions) |
2Q 2015 | 2Q 2014 | 1H 2015 | 1H 2014 | |||||||||||||||
| GAAP | $ | 793 | $ | 646 | $ | 1,537 | $ | 1,332 | |||||||||||
| 2Q 2015 gain related to sale of Concentra | (267 | ) | - | (267 | ) | - | |||||||||||||
| Adjusted (non-GAAP) | $ | 526 | $ | 646 | $ | 1,270 | $ | 1,332 | |||||||||||
| Diluted earnings per common share | 2Q 2015 | 2Q 2014 | 1H 2015 | 1H 2014 | |||||||||||||||
| GAAP | $ | 2.85 | $ | 2.19 | $ | 5.67 | $ | 4.54 | |||||||||||
| 2Q 2015 gain related to sale of Concentra | (1.18 | ) | - | (1.18 | ) | - | |||||||||||||
|
1Q 2015 tax benefit related to then-pending sale of Concentra |
- | - | (0.35 | ) | - | ||||||||||||||
| Adjusted (non-GAAP) | $ | 1.67 | $ | 2.19 | $ | 4.14 | $ | 4.54 | |||||||||||
The lower year-over-year Adjusted pretax income for the quarter and year
to date reflected lower Retail segment operating results, partially
offset by improved operating results from the Group and
The lower year-over-year Adjusted EPS for the quarter and year to date reflected the same factors impacting pretax income, partially offset by the favorable impact of share repurchases.
Proposed Merger
On
Earnings Guidance
The company expects EPS for the quarter ending
| Diluted earnings per common share | FY 2015 | |||||
| GAAP | $ | 9.28 | ||||
| 2Q 2015 gain related to sale of Concentra | (1.18 | ) | ||||
| 1Q 2015 tax benefit related to then-pending sale of Concentra | (0.35 | ) | ||||
| Adjusted (non-GAAP) | $ | 7.75 | ||||
The company also anticipates adjusting GAAP EPS in subsequent quarters for any transaction costs associated with the proposed merger with Aetna.
“Our major franchise,
CONSOLIDATED HIGHLIGHTS
Consolidated revenues
Consolidated revenues (including investment income) for 2Q 2015 were
Consolidated revenues for 1H 2015 rose
Consolidated benefits expense
The 2Q 2015 consolidated benefit ratio (benefits expense as a percent of
premiums) of 85.2 percent increased by 210 basis points from 83.1
percent for the prior year’s quarter primarily reflecting higher ratios
in both the
The 1H 2015 consolidated benefit ratio of 84.1 percent increased by 140
basis points from 82.7 percent in 1H 2014. The first-half increase
primarily reflects the same factors impacting the second quarter
year-over-year comparison. Prior
As discussed in the Retail segment highlights below, the company’s
consolidated Prior
|
Consolidated Prior Period Development (in millions) |
First quarter |
Second quarter |
First Half |
|||||||||||
|
Favorable (unfavorable) |
|
|
|
|||||||||||
| Prior Period Development from 2014 recognized in FY 2015 | $ | 194 | ($16 | ) | $ | 178 | ||||||||
| Prior Period Development from 2013 recognized in FY 2014 | $ | 297 | $ | 49 | $ | 346 | ||||||||
Consolidated operating expenses
The consolidated operating cost ratio (operating costs as a percent of
total revenues less investment income) of 13.3 percent for 2Q 2015
decreased 180 basis points from 15.1 percent in 2Q 2014, primarily
reflecting lower ratios in the
The 1H 2015 consolidated operating cost ratio of 13.8 percent decreased 140 basis points from 15.2 percent in 1H 2014, primarily reflecting a lower ratio in the Group segment with no change in the ratio for the Retail segment.
Amortization expense associated with intangible assets is often used in
determining operating earnings on a cash basis. The company’s related
amortization expense included in consolidated operating expenses was
approximately
Balance sheet
At
Cash and short-term investments held at the parent company of
At
| Net Amounts Accrued for the 3Rs |
Balances Related |
Balances Related |
Total Balances |
|||||||||||||
|
(in millions) |
to 2014 plan year |
to 2015 plan year |
at 6/30/15 |
|||||||||||||
|
Assets (liabilities) |
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
| Reinsurance recoverables | $ | 521 | $ | 168 | $ | 689 | ||||||||||
| Net risk adjustment settlement | (125 | ) | (41 | ) | (166 | ) | ||||||||||
| Net risk corridor settlement | 243 | 133 | 376 | |||||||||||||
| Total Net Amounts Accrued for the 3Rs | $ | 639 | $ | 260 | $ | 899 | ||||||||||
Days in claims payable of 41.1 at
Debt-to-total capitalization at
Cash flows from operations
Cash flows used in operations for 2Q 2015 were
For 1H 2015, cash flows used in operations totaled
Cash flows for the second half of 2015 are expected to be favorably
impacted by the collection of the 2014 final and 2015 mid-year
Share repurchases
In
| Method of share repurchase | Time period |
Shares |
Average cost |
Total |
|||||||||||
| Open market | September 2014 | 269,000 | $ | 128.34 | $ | 34,465,000 | |||||||||
| Open market |
October 2014 – |
766,000 | $ | 130.50 | $ | 100,015,000 | |||||||||
| Accelerated share repurchase |
November 2014 – |
3,419,700 | $ | 146.21 | $ | 500,000,000 | |||||||||
| 10b5-1 plan | March 2015 | 145,000 | $ | 179.89 | $ | 26,085,000 | |||||||||
| 10b5-1 plan |
April 2015 – |
1,704,800 | $ | 177.81 | $ | 303,131,000 | |||||||||
|
Total Share Repurchases through July 28, 2015 under September 2014 Authorization |
6,304,500 | $ | 152.86 | $ | 963,696,000 | ||||||||||
During 2Q 2015, the company executed share repurchases of approximately
The company repurchased approximately 1,849,800 shares for
As of
Cash dividends
The company paid cash dividends to its stockholders of
The company’s ability and intent to continue its quarterly dividend
policy is not impacted by the proposed merger with Aetna, although the
company has agreed that its quarterly dividend will not exceed
RETAIL SEGMENT(c)
This segment consists of
Retail Segment Highlights
While the company’s stand-alone Prescription Drug Plans (PDPs) and group
Operating results for individual commercial continue to be challenged
primarily due to the volatility and morbidity associated with new
membership related to the start of the Affordable Care Act (ACA).
Medical claims associated with certain products, in particular
ACA-compliant off-exchange offerings, continue to exceed prior
expectations for FY 2015. Additionally, on
In total, the company’s state-based contracts business continues to perform in line with management’s expectations. State-based business associated with the company’s dual eligible membership is outperforming expectations while its Medicaid Temporary Assistance for Needy Families products are underperforming expectations.
Premiums and services revenue:
-
The 2Q 2015 premiums and services revenue for the Retail segment was
$11.56 billion , an increase of 15.8 percent from$9.98 billion in 2Q 2014. The increase resulted primarily from a 12.2 percent increase in averageMedicare Advantage membership year over year, along with membership growth in the company’s state-based contracts and stand-alone PDP offerings as well as a heavier percentage of individual commercial business in higher premium ACA-compliant plans. -
1H 2015 premium and services revenue for the Retail segment was
$23.14 billion , an increase of 18.9 percent from$19.46 billion in 1H 2014, primarily reflecting the same factors impacting the year-over-year comparison for the second quarter.
Enrollment:
-
Individual
Medicare Advantage membership was 2,709,300 as ofJune 30, 2015 , an increase of 350,300, or 14.8 percent, from 2,359,000 atJune 30, 2014 , and up 281,400, or 11.6 percent from 2,427,900 as ofDecember 31, 2014 , primarily due to net membership additions associated with the 2015 plan year, particularly HMO offerings. -
Group
Medicare Advantage membership was 473,100 as ofJune 30, 2015 , a decrease of 6,600, or 1.4 percent, from 479,700 atJune 30, 2014 and down 16,600, or 3.4 percent, from 489,700 atDecember 31, 2014 . The decline fromDecember 31, 2014 primarily reflects the loss of a large group account. -
Membership in the company’s stand-alone PDP offerings was 4,442,500 as
of
June 30, 2015 , an increase of 557,000 or 14.3 percent, from 3,885,500 atJune 30, 2014 , and up 448,500, or 11.2 percent from 3,994,000 as ofDecember 31, 2014 . These increases primarily resulted from growth in the company’s low-priced Humana-Walmart plan offering. -
Individual commercial membership decreased to 1,036,700 as of
June 30, 2015 , down 84,100, or 7.5 percent, from 1,120,800 atJune 30, 2014 , but up 20,500, or 2.0 percent from 1,016,200 atDecember 31, 2014 . The year-over-year decline primarily reflects the loss of members subscribing to plans not compliant with changes mandated by health care reform, partially offset by growth in health care reform compliant plans, both on-exchange and off-exchange. The increase fromDecember 31, 2014 primarily reflects new sales and better retention for plans compliant with health care reform. -
State-based
Medicaid membership was 352,000 as ofJune 30, 2015 (including 16,400 dual-eligible demonstration members), an increase of 185,000, or 110.8 percent, from 167,000 (including 4,000 dual-eligible demonstration members) atJune 30, 2014 , and up 35,200, or 11.1 percent, from 316,800 (including 18,300 dual-eligible demonstration members) atDecember 31, 2014 . These increases were primarily driven by the addition of membership from state-based contracts for the Florida Medicaid business. -
Membership in individual specialty products(e) was
1,203,600 as of
June 30, 2015 , a decrease of 25,900, or 2.1 percent, from 1,229,500 atJune 30, 2014 , but up 37,800 from 3.2 percent atDecember 31, 2014 . The year-over-year decrease in membership reflects lower membership in supplemental health and financial protection product offerings. Specialty membership increased in 1H 2015 primarily due to increased membership in dental offerings.
Benefits expense:
-
The 2Q 2015 benefit ratio for the Retail segment of 87.1 percent
increased 190 basis points from 85.2 percent in 2Q 2014 due to higher
benefit ratios for the company’s individual
Medicare Advantage and individual commercial businesses, as described above, as well as the impact of a higher mix of members from state-basedMedicaid contracts. PriorPeriod Development increased the 2Q 2015 Retail segment benefit ratio by 10 basis points versus lowering that ratio by 60 basis points in the prior year. Excluding PriorPeriod Development , the Retail segment benefit ratios were 87.0 percent and 85.8 percent for 2Q 2015 and 2Q 2014, respectively. -
The 1H 2015 benefit ratio for the Retail segment of 86.5 percent was
120 basis points higher than the 1H 2014 ratio of 85.3 percent,
primarily reflecting the same factors impacting the year-over-year
comparisons for the second quarter. Prior
Period Development lowered the 1H 2015 consolidated benefit ratio by 80 basis points and by 170 basis points in 1H 2014. Excluding PriorPeriod Development , the Retail segment benefit ratios were 87.3 percent and 87.0 percent for 1H 2015 and 1H 2014, respectively. -
The Retail segment Prior
Period Development declined approximately$69 million year over year for 2Q 2015 and$158 million year over year for 1H 2015 primarily reflecting the impact of lower financial claim recoveries, flu-associated claims from the fourth quarter of 2014, and continued volatility in claims associated with individual commercial products. Retail segment PriorPeriod Development was as follows:
|
Retail Segment Prior Period Development (in millions) |
First quarter |
Second quarter |
First Half |
|||||||||||
|
Favorable (unfavorable) |
|
|
|
|||||||||||
| Prior Period Development from 2014 recognized in FY 2015 | $ | 188 | ($11 | ) | $ | 177 | ||||||||
| Prior Period Development from 2013 recognized in FY 2014 | $ | 277 | $ | 58 | $ | 335 | ||||||||
-
In
June 2015 , the company engaged the actuarial firmMilliman to obtain an independent estimate of Humana’s individualMedicare Advantage IBNR reserves as ofMay 31, 2015 .Humana provided the claims data toMilliman but did not provide its estimates for comparison purposes until after theMilliman analysis was completed.Milliman used a variety of methods to create a range of estimates. Milliman’s conclusion was that the company’s individualMedicare Advantage medical claims reserves (excluding pharmacy) as ofMay 31, 2015 were good and sufficient.(f)
Operating costs:
- The Retail segment’s operating cost ratio of 10.5 percent in 2Q 2015 decreased 20 basis points from 10.7 percent in 2Q 2014. The decrease primarily resulted from scale efficiencies associated with medical membership growth in the segment, partially offset by an increase in the non-deductible health insurance industry fee mandated by health care reform. The non-deductible health insurance industry fee increased the Retail segment’s operating cost ratio by approximately 160 basis points in 2Q 2015 and 120 basis points in 2Q 2014. Excluding the industry fee, the Retail segment operating cost ratios were 8.9 percent and 9.5 percent for 2Q 2015 and 2Q 2014, respectively.
- The Retail segment’s 1H 2015 operating cost ratio of 10.7 percent was unchanged from 1H 2014. The non-deductible health insurance industry fee increased the Retail segment’s operating cost ratio by approximately 160 basis points in 1H 2015 and 120 basis points in 1H 2014. Excluding the industry fee, the Retail segment operating cost ratios were 9.1 percent and 9.5 percent for 1H 2015 and 1H 2014, respectively, reflecting scale efficiencies within the segment.
Pretax results:
-
Retail segment pretax income of
$260 million in 2Q 2015 compared to$400 million in 2Q 2014, a decrease of$140 million , as growth inMedicare Advantage membership was more than offset by an increase in the benefit ratio. -
For 1H 2015, pretax income for the Retail Segment of
$635 million decreased by$134 million from 1H 2014 pretax earnings of$769 million . The 1H 2015 decrease primarily reflected the same factors impacting the quarterly comparisons.
GROUP SEGMENT(c)
This segment consists of employer group commercial fully-insured medical and specialty health insurance benefits, including dental, vision, and other supplemental health and voluntary insurance benefits, as well as Administrative Services Only (ASO) products. In addition, the Group segment includes health and wellness products (primarily marketed to employer groups) and military services business, primarily the TRICARE South Region contract.
Group Segment Highlights
The Group segment continues to perform in line with company
expectations, including fully-insured and ASO products as well as the
company’s TRICARE operations. On
Premiums and services revenue:
-
The 2Q 2015 premiums and services revenue for the Group segment was
$1.84 billion , up 2.6 percent from$1.80 billion in 2Q 2014, primarily reflecting an increase in fully-insured commercial medical per- member premiums, partially offset by a net decline in fully-insured commercial medical membership and a decline in ASO commercial membership. -
For 1H 2015 premium and services revenue for the Group segment was
$3.70 billion , an increase of 2.1 percent from$3.62 billion in 1H 2014, primarily reflecting the same factors impacting the year-over-year comparison for the second quarter.
Enrollment:
-
Group fully-insured commercial medical membership was 1,179,100 at
June 30, 2015 , a decrease of 31,000, or 2.6 percent, from 1,210,100 atJune 30, 2014 , as higher small group business (less than 100 lives) membership year over year was more than offset by lower membership in large group accounts. Group fully-insured commercial medical membership was down 56,400, or 4.6 percent, from 1,235,500 atDecember 31, 2014 reflecting lower membership in both large group and small group accounts. Approximately 64 percent of group fully-insured commercial medical membership was in small group accounts atJune 30, 2015 versus 65 percent atDecember 31, 2014 , and 62 percent atJune 30, 2014 . -
Group ASO commercial medical membership was 736,600 at
June 30, 2015 , a decline of 383,500, or 34.2 percent, from 1,120,100 atJune 30, 2014 , and down 367,700, or 33.3 percent from 1,104,300 atDecember 31, 2014 . This decline reflects the loss of certain large group accounts due to continued discipline in pricing of services for self-funded accounts amid a highly competitive environment. -
Military services membership was 3,071,300 at
June 30, 2015 , generally unchanged with a decrease of 40,000, or 1.3 percent, from 3,111,300 atJune 30, 2014 , and down 19,100, or 0.6 percent, from 3,090,400 atDecember 31, 2014 . -
Membership in Group specialty products was 6,179,700 at
June 30, 2015 , a decline of 396,300, or 6.0 percent, from 6,576,000 atJune 30, 2014 , and down 323,000, or 5.0 percent, from 6,502,700 atDecember 31, 2014 . This decrease primarily resulted from the loss of certain fully-insured group accounts. -
Membership in HumanaVitality®, the company’s wellness and loyalty
rewards program, was 3,885,200 at
June 30, 2015 , an increase of 113,200, or 3.0 percent, from 3,772,000 atJune 30, 2014 , and up 28,400, or 0.7 percent, from 3,856,800 atDecember 31, 2014 primarily due to individualMedicare Advantage growth as well as growth in stand-alone sales.
Benefits expense:
-
The 2Q 2015 benefit ratio for the Group segment was 81.4 percent, an
increase of 250 basis points from 78.9 percent for 2Q 2014. The
year-over-year increase in the benefit ratio primarily reflected the
impact of higher specialty drug costs, net of rebates, partially
offset by an increase in the health insurance industry fee included in
pricing of the company’s products. Prior
Period Development increased the Group segment benefit ratio by 40 basis points in both 2Q 2015 and 2Q 2014. Excluding PriorPeriod Development , the Group segment benefit ratios were 81.0 percent and 78.5 percent for 2Q 2015 and 2Q 2014, respectively. -
The 1H 2015 benefit ratio for the Group segment of 77.6 percent
increased 190 basis points from the 75.7 percent ratio for 1H 2014,
primarily reflecting the same factors impacting the year-over-year
comparisons for the second quarter. Prior
Period Development had no impact upon the Group segment benefit ratio in 1H 2015 and lowered the ratio by 40 basis points in 1H 2014. Excluding PriorPeriod Development , the Group segment benefit ratio was 77.6 percent for 1H 2015 and 76.1 for 1H 2014, respectively.
Operating costs:
- The Group segment’s operating cost ratio was 24.1 percent in 2Q 2015, a decrease of 280 basis points from 26.9 percent in 2Q 2014, primarily reflecting the loss of certain large ASO accounts resulting in a lower percentage of ASO business which carries a higher operating cost ratio than fully-insured commercial business, as well as operating cost efficiencies associated with the fully-insured business as a result of cost reduction initiatives. These decreases were partially offset by the increase of the non-deductible health insurance industry fee mandated by health care reform. The non-deductible health insurance industry fee impacted the Group segment’s operating cost ratio by approximately 140 basis points in 2Q 2015 and 100 basis points in 2Q 2014. Excluding the industry fee, the Group segment operating cost ratios were 22.7 percent and 25.9 percent for 2Q 2015 and 2Q 2014, respectively.
- The Group segment’s operating cost ratio of 24.3 percent for 1H 2015 was down 270 basis points compared to 27.0 percent for 1H 2014 primarily reflecting the same factors impacting the year-over-year comparison for the second quarter. The non-deductible health insurance industry fee also impacted the Group segment’s operating cost ratio by approximately 140 basis points in 1H 2015 and 100 basis points in 1H 2014. Excluding the industry fee, the Group segment operating cost ratios were 22.9 percent and 26.0 percent for 1H 2015 and 1H 2014, respectively.
Pretax results:
-
The 2Q 2015 Group segment pretax income of
$43 million increased from pretax income of$30 million in 2Q 2014, primarily reflecting an improvement in the segment’s operating cost ratio, partially offset by an increase in the segment’s benefit ratio. -
For 1H 2015, pretax income for the Group segment of
$197 million increased by$23 million versus 1H 2014 pretax earnings of$174 million . The 1H 2014 increase primarily reflects the same factors impacting the quarterly comparisons.
HEALTHCARE SERVICES SEGMENT(c)
This segment includes services offered to the company’s health plan members as well as to third parties, including pharmacy solutions, provider services, home based services, and clinical programs, as well as services and capabilities to advance population health.
Healthcare Services Segment Highlights
Revenues:
-
Revenue of
$5.98 billion in 2Q 2015 for theHealthcare Services segment increased$965 million , or 19.3 percent, from$5.01 billion in 2Q 2014, primarily due to growth in the company’sMedicare membership which resulted in higher utilization of the healthcare services businesses, partially offset by lower Concentra revenues due to the sale of the business inJune 2015 . -
1H 2015 revenue for the
Healthcare Services segment was$11.85 billion , an increase of 22.6 percent from$9.67 billion in 1H 2014, primarily reflecting the same factors impacting the year-over-year comparison for the second quarter.
Operating costs:
-
The
Healthcare Services segment’s operating cost ratio of 95.6 percent in 2Q 2015 was relatively unchanged compared to 95.2 percent in 2Q 2014. -
The
Healthcare Services segment’s operating cost ratio of 95.5 percent for 1H 2015 was also relatively unchanged compared to 95.2 percent for 1H 2014.
Operating statistics:
-
Primary care providers in value-based (shared risk and path to risk)
relationships of approximately 43,000 at
June 30, 2015 increased 11.7 percent from 38,500 atJune 30, 2014 , and increased 1.7 percent from 42,300 atDecember 31, 2014 . AtJune 30, 2015 , 55.7 percent of the company’s individualMedicare Advantage members were in value-based relationships, compared to 53.6 percent atDecember 31, 2014 , and 52.8 percent atJune 30, 2014 . -
Medicare Advantage membership in the Humana Chronic Care Program rose to 512,000 atJune 30, 2015 , up 48.6 percent from 344,500 atJune 30, 2014 , and up 21.7 percent from 420,700 atDecember 31, 2014 , reflecting enhanced predictive modeling capabilities and focus on proactive clinical outreach and member engagement. -
Pharmacy script volumes of 98.4 million for the quarter ended
June 30, 2015 increased 20.6 percent compared to 81.6 million for the quarter endedJune 30, 2014 , driven primarily by higher average medical membership.
Pretax results:
-
Healthcare Services segment pretax income of$223 million in 2Q 2015 increased from$206 million in 2Q 2014, primarily due to revenue growth from the pharmacy solutions and home based services businesses, as they serve the company’s growingMedicare membership. -
1H 2015 pretax income for the
Healthcare Services segment of$453 million increased by$62 million from 1H 2014 pretax earnings of$391 million , primarily reflecting the same factors impacting year-over-year comparisons.
Detailed press release
Humana’s full earnings press release including the statistical pages has
been posted to the company’s Investor Relations site and may be accessed
at http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=92913&p=irol-IRHome
or via a current report on Form 8-K filed by the company with the
Footnotes
(a) Adjusted pretax income and Adjusted EPS for 2Q 2015 excluded a
pretax gain of approximately
The company has included these financial measures (which are not in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP)) in its summary of financial results within this earnings press release as management believes that these measures, when presented in conjunction with the comparable GAAP measures, are useful to both management and its investors in analyzing the company’s ongoing business and operating performance. The excluded items described herein are not a recurring part of the company’s operating plan. Consequently, management uses these non-GAAP financial measures as indicators of business performance, as well as for operational planning and decision making purposes. Non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to, but not as a substitute for, or superior to, financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP.
(b) Under health care reform, premium stabilization programs, commonly
referred to as the
(c) On January 1, 2015, the company realigned certain of its businesses
among its financial reporting segments to correspond with internal
management reporting changes and renamed its
(d) State-based contracts include the company’s operations and
membership associated with
(e) The company provides a full range of insured specialty products including dental, vision, other supplemental health, financial protection, and voluntary insurance benefits. Members included in these products may not be unique to each product since members have the ability to enroll in multiple products. Other supplemental benefits include life, disability, and fixed benefit products including cancer and critical illness policies.
(f) Milliman’s estimate of Humana’s individual Medicare Advantage Part C
Conference Call
Given the proposed merger with Aetna, the company is not hosting a
conference call in conjunction with its 2Q 2015 earnings release and
does not expect to do so for future quarters. Please direct any
questions regarding this earnings press release to Humana Investor
Relations or
Cautionary Statement
This news release includes forward-looking statements within the meaning
of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. When used in
investor presentations, press releases,
- Humana’s merger with Aetna is subject to various closing conditions, including governmental, regulatory and stockholder approvals as well as other uncertainties and there can be no assurances as to whether and when it may be completed.
-
The merger agreement between
Humana and Aetna limits Humana’s ability to pursue alternative transactions to the proposed merger with Aetna. - The number of shares of Aetna common stock that Humana’s stockholders will receive in the merger is based on a fixed exchange ratio. Because the market price of Aetna’s common stock will fluctuate, Humana’s stockholders cannot be certain of the value of the portion of the merger consideration to be paid in Aetna’s common stock.
-
While the merger with Aetna is pending,
Humana is subject to business uncertainties and contractual restrictions that could materially adversely affect Humana’s results of operations, financial position and cash flows or result in a loss of employees, customers, members or suppliers. -
If the merger agreement with Aetna is terminated,
Humana may, under certain circumstances, be obligated to pay a termination fee to Aetna. - Failure to consummate the merger with Aetna could negatively impact Humana’s results of operations, financial position and cash flows.
-
If
Humana does not design and price its products properly and competitively, if the premiumsHumana receives are insufficient to cover the cost of health care services delivered to its members, if the company is unable to implement clinical initiatives to provide a better health care experience for its members, lower costs and appropriately document the risk profile of its members, or if its estimates of benefits expense are inadequate, Humana’s profitability could be materially adversely affected.Humana estimates the costs of its benefit expense payments, and designs and prices its products accordingly, using actuarial methods and assumptions based upon, among other relevant factors, claim payment patterns, medical cost inflation, and historical developments such as claim inventory levels and claim receipt patterns. These estimates, however, involve extensive judgment, and have considerable inherent variability because they are extremely sensitive to changes in claim payment patterns and medical cost trends. -
If
Humana fails to effectively implement its operational and strategic initiatives, particularly itsMedicare initiatives, state-based contract strategy, and its participation in the new health insurance exchanges, the company’s business may be materially adversely affected, which is of particular importance given the concentration of the company’s revenues in these products. -
If
Humana fails to properly maintain the integrity of its data, to strategically implement new information systems, to protect Humana’s proprietary rights to its systems, or to defend against cyber-security attacks, the company’s business may be materially adversely affected. -
Humana’s business may be materially adversely impacted by the adoption
of a new coding set for diagnoses (commonly known as ICD-10), the
implementation of which has been deferred to at least
October 1, 2015 . -
Humana is involved in various legal actions, or disputes that could lead to legal actions (such as, among other things, provider contract disputes relating to rate adjustments resulting from the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985, as amended, commonly referred to as “sequestration”; other provider contract disputes; and qui tam litigation brought by individuals on behalf of the government) and governmental and internal investigations, any of which, if resolved unfavorably to the company, could result in substantial monetary damages or changes in its business practices. Increased litigation and negative publicity could also increase the company’s cost of doing business. -
As a government contractor,
Humana is exposed to risks that may materially adversely affect its business or its willingness or ability to participate in government health care programs including, among other things, loss of material government contracts, governmental audits and investigations, potential inadequacy of government-determined payment rates, potential restrictions on profitability, including by comparison of profitability of the company’sMedicare Advantage business to non-Medicare Advantage business, or other changes in the governmental programs in whichHumana participates. -
The Health Care Reform Law, including The Patient Protection and
Affordable Care Act and The Health Care and Education Reconciliation
Act of 2010, could have a material adverse effect on Humana’s results
of operations, including restricting revenue, enrollment and premium
growth in certain products and market segments, restricting the
company’s ability to expand into new markets, increasing the company's
medical and operating costs by, among other things, requiring a
minimum benefit ratio on insured products, lowering the company’s
Medicare payment rates and increasing the company’s expenses associated with a non-deductible health insurance industry fee and other assessments; the company’s financial position, including the company's ability to maintain the value of its goodwill; and the company’s cash flows. - Humana’s participation in the new federal and state health care exchanges, which entail uncertainties associated with mix, volume of business, and the operation of premium stabilization programs, which are subject to federal administrative action, could adversely affect the company’s results of operations, financial position, and cash flows.
- Humana’s business activities are subject to substantial government regulation. New laws or regulations, or changes in existing laws or regulations or their manner of application could increase the company’s cost of doing business and may adversely affect the company’s business, profitability and cash flows.
-
If
Humana fails to develop and maintain satisfactory relationships with the providers of care to its members, the company’s business may be adversely affected. - Humana’s pharmacy business is highly competitive and subjects it to regulations in addition to those the company faces with its core health benefits businesses.
- Changes in the prescription drug industry pricing benchmarks may adversely affect Humana’s financial performance.
-
If
Humana does not continue to earn and retain purchase discounts and volume rebates from pharmaceutical manufacturers at current levels, Humana’s gross margins may decline. - Humana’s ability to obtain funds from certain of its licensed subsidiaries is restricted by state insurance regulations.
- Downgrades in Humana’s debt ratings, should they occur, may adversely affect its business, results of operations, and financial condition.
- The securities and credit markets may experience volatility and disruption, which may adversely affect Humana’s business.
In making forward-looking statements,
-
Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2014 ;
-
Form 10-Q for the quarter ended
March 31, 2015 , and - Form 8-Ks filed during 2015.
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More information regarding
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Securities and Exchange Commission filings - Most recent investor conference presentations
- Quarterly earnings news releases
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View source version on businesswire.com: http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20150729005490/en/
Source:
Humana Investor Relations
Regina Nethery, 502-580-3644
Rnethery@humana.com
or
Humana
Corporate Communications
Tom Noland, 502-580-3674
Tnoland@humana.com