Humana Continues to Build Upon Proven Strategy Following Termination of Merger with Aetna; Provides 2017 Financial Guidance; Announces Capital Deployment Plans
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The company is continuing to build upon its integrated care
delivery strategy to intensify its focus on the rapidly growing
Medicare Advantage population and deepen itsHealthcare Services platform -
Full-year 2017 earnings per diluted common share guidance of
$16.65 to$16.85 GAAP; Adjusted EPS guidance of$10.80 to $11.00 -
Company to exit its Individual Commercial business
January 1, 2018 -
New share repurchase authorization includes plan for first quarter
2017
$1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase with$500 million in additional repurchases through remainder of 2017 -
Cash dividend of
$0.40 per share declared, a nearly 40 percent increase from prior dividend of$0.29 per share
“The healthcare industry is in a dynamic state, and the public is
looking to companies like Humana to improve the cost of care and the
consumer experience,” said
Broussard added, “We are very proud of the tremendous effort and commitment of our associates during this extended period of uncertainty and their continuing focus and dedication to helping our members achieve their best health.”
Strategic Update
As an independent company, Humana will continue to build upon its
integrated care delivery strategy by intensifying its focus on people
living with chronic conditions – particularly those aging into or
already in
As the company’s business model demonstrates, when Humana integrates care with doctors and other healthcare professionals and serves members outside of traditional institutions, its members’ health improves, care is more cost-effective, and consumers are more engaged. These are key drivers to enabling more affordable healthcare for consumers and facilitating higher Star quality ratings, while also improving financial performance.
Humana is enhancing its integrated care delivery strategy in several key areas to further enable a rich, locally delivered healthcare experience for members, by doing the following:
- Increasing risk-based arrangements through expanding partnerships with risk providers, offering sophisticated population health technology and services, and expanding primary care clinics.
- Expanding complementary clinical capabilities that assist members outside of the doctors’ offices and institutions, with focus on home health services, local pharmacy access and behavioral health.
- Integrating technology between healthcare professionals, members and Humana together with advanced analytics to simplify the experience, eliminate “friction points”, increase transparency and make access to care more convenient.
“By extending and expanding the local capabilities of our
The company will continue its practice of evaluating its portfolio of businesses to ensure focus on those lines of business where its integrated care delivery strategy can add value for health plan members, healthcare professionals and its government program and employer group customers.
Regarding the company’s individual commercial medical coverage (Individual Commercial), substantially all of which is offered on-exchange through the federal Marketplaces, Humana has worked over the past several years to address market and programmatic challenges in order to keep coverage options available wherever it could offer a viable product. This has included pursuing business changes, such as modifying networks, restructuring product offerings, reducing the company’s geographic footprint and increasing premiums.
All of these actions were taken with the expectation that the company’s Individual Commercial business would stabilize to the point where the company could continue to participate in the program. However, based on its initial analysis of data associated with the company’s healthcare exchange membership following the 2017 open enrollment period, Humana is seeing further signs of an unbalanced risk pool. Therefore, the company has decided that it cannot continue to offer this coverage for 2018. Through the remainder of 2017, Humana remains committed to serving its current members across 11 states where it offers Individual Commercial products. And, as it has done in the past, Humana will work closely with its state partners as it navigates this process.
Capital Deployment Plans
The company today also announced strategic changes to its capital deployment plans to increase its return of capital to stockholders and to create capacity for strategic investments.
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The company’s Board of Directors has declared a cash dividend to
stockholders of
$0.40 per share, payable onApril 28, 2017 , to stockholders of record onMarch 31, 2017 , an increase of 38 percent from the prior quarter’s cash dividend of$0.29 per share. -
Humana anticipates share repurchases totaling at least
$2.00 billion in 2017, to be accomplished through a variety of means, including a$1.50 billion accelerated share repurchase program in the first quarter of 2017, and open-market repurchases, with at least$500 million in additional share repurchases through the remainder of the year, subject to market conditions. To that end, the company’s Board of Directors has approved a new share repurchase authorization in the aggregate amount of$2.25 billion , expiringDecember 31, 2017 . -
The company remains committed to a solid balance sheet and an
investment grade rating, which provide the capacity and flexibility to
invest in growth opportunities. Humana is likely to access the capital
markets in the coming months, depending upon market conditions,
raising its debt-to-capital ratio to within the range of 30 to 35
percent. The higher debt-to-capital ratio has been anticipated in the
company’s financial guidance for the year ending
December 31, 2017 (FY17). The company also noted that it would consider going above that range, temporarily, if needed for strategic purposes.
Investor Day 2017
Humana also announced its intention to host an Investor Day in
2017 Financial Guidance
Humana provided its Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) and
Adjusted EPS guidance for FY17 as detailed below. GAAP and Adjusted
results for the year ended
| Diluted earnings per common share |
FY17 Guidance (b) |
FY16
Recast (c) |
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| GAAP | $16.65 to $16.85 | $4.07 | |||||
| Net (gain) expenses associated with the now-terminated transaction with Aetna (for FY17, primarily the break-up fee) | (~4.32) | 0.64 | |||||
| Amortization of identifiable intangibles | ~0.31 | 0.32 | |||||
| Beneficial effect of lower effective tax rate in light of pricing and benefit design assumptions associated with the 2017 temporary suspension of the non-deductible health insurance industry fee; excludes Individual Commercial business impact | (~2.14) | - | |||||
| Write-off of risk corridor receivables (d) | - | 2.43 | |||||
| Reserve strengthening for the company’s non-strategic closed block of long-term care insurance business (e) | - | 2.11 | |||||
| Estimated guaranty fund assessment expense to support the policyholder obligations of Penn Treaty (an unaffiliated long-term care insurance company) | ~0.13 | - | |||||
| FY16 Adjusted (non-GAAP) – as reported | - | $9.57 | |||||
| Operating losses associated with the Individual Commercial business given the company’s planned exit on January 1, 2018; FY16 excludes losses associated with the write-off of risk corridor receivables | ~0.17 | 1.37 | |||||
| Adjusted (non-GAAP) – FY17 projected; FY16 as recast | $10.80 - $11.00 | $10.94 | |||||
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The company has included financial measures throughout this earnings release that are not in accordance with GAAP. Management believes that these measures, when presented in conjunction with the comparable GAAP measures, are useful to both management and its investors in analyzing the company’s ongoing business and operating performance. Consequently, management uses these non-GAAP financial measures as indicators of the company’s business performance, as well as for operational planning and decision making purposes. Non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to, but not as a substitute for, or superior to, financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. All financial measures in this press release are in accordance with GAAP unless otherwise indicated. |
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“Our results for 2016 demonstrated Humana’s ability to maintain
operational discipline and advance our strategy during periods of
uncertainty and change,” said
Factors expected to impact the company’s projected FY17 earnings growth include:
| Midpoints of FY17 estimated ranges used for simplicity |
Pretax
(in millions) |
EPS | |||
| FY16 Adjusted – as reported | $2,821 | $9.57 | |||
| Operating losses associated with the Individual Commercial business given the company’s planned exit on January 1, 2018; excludes FY16 losses associated with the write-off of risk corridor receivables | 291 | 1.37 | |||
| FY16 Adjusted – as recast | $3,112 | $10.94 | |||
| Excess prior period development not expected to recur in FY17, primarily Medicare Advantage (f) | (~180) | (~0.74) | |||
| FY16 Baseline | ~$2,932 | ~$10.20 | |||
| Projected changes versus the prior year include: | |||||
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Retail Segment primarily reflecting:
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~170 | ||||
| Group Segment primarily reflecting (1) consistent pricing discipline and (2) continued focus on cost structure optimization | ~30 | ||||
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Healthcare Services Segment primarily reflecting the
offsetting impacts of:
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Relatively unchanged | ||||
| Other changes (primarily investment income and interest expense) | (~85) | ||||
| Total projected changes | ~115 | ~0.38 | |||
| Lower projected weighted average share count primarily due to anticipated share repurchases | ~0.32 | ||||
| Projected FY17 Adjusted | ~$3.05 billion | ~$10.90 | |||
| In accordance with GAAP unless otherwise noted |
FY17 Projections
As of February 14, 2017 |
Comments | ||||
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Diluted earnings per common share (EPS) |
GAAP $16.65 to $16.85
Adjustments (5.85)
Non-GAAP $10.80 to $11.00
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| Total revenues |
Consolidated $53.5 billion to $54.5 billion
Retail segment $45.75 billion to $46.25 billion
Group segment $7.00 billion to $7.50 billion
Healthcare Services segment $25.50 billion to $26.00 billion
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| Change in year-end medical membership from prior year end |
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| Benefit ratios |
Retail segment: 86.0% to 86.5%
Group segment: 80.5% to 81.5% |
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| Consolidated operating cost ratio | 11.25% to 11.75% |
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| Segment pretax results |
Retail segment: $1.75 billion to $1.80 billion
Group segment: $265 million to $285 million
Healthcare Services segment: $1.00 billion to $1.10 billion |
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| Effective tax rate |
GAAP 36% to 37%
Adjustments ~11.0%
Non-GAAP 47% to 48%
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| Weighted average share count for diluted EPS | 146 million to 147 million |
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| Cash flows from operations | $2.8 billion to $3.2 billion |
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| Capital expenditures | $550 million to $600 million | |||||
Conference Call and Webcast
Humana will host a conference call and webcast to discuss the
announcements in this press release at
The webcast may be accessed via Humana’s Investor Relations page at humana.com. The company suggests those listening over the web sign on approximately 15 minutes in advance of the call. The company suggests web participants visit the site well in advance of the call to run a system test and to download any free software needed.
For those unable to listen in to the live call, the call replay may be
accessed the Historical Webcasts and Presentations section of the
Investor Relations page at humana.com,
approximately two hours following the live webcast. Telephone replays
will be available from
Footnotes
(a) Chronic condition charts 2014, https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/Chronic-Conditions/Chartbook_Charts.html
(b) FY17 Adjusted EPS projections exclude the following:
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Operating losses of approximately
$45 million pretax, or$0.17 per diluted common share, for the company’s Individual Commercial business given the company’s planned exit onJanuary 1, 2018 . -
Net gain from termination of transaction with Aetna of approximately
$945 million pretax, or$4.32 per diluted common share; includes the break-up fee from Aetna, Humana’s portion of the break-up fee associated with theMolina Healthcare, Inc. and transaction costs net of the tax benefit associated with certain expenses which were previously non-deductible. -
Amortization expense for identifiable intangibles of approximately
$71 million pretax, or$0.31 per diluted common share. -
The one-year beneficial effect of a lower effective tax rate of
approximately
$2.14 per diluted common share in light of pricing and benefit design assumptions associated with the 2017 temporary suspension of the non-deductible health insurance industry fee; excludes Individual Commercial business impact. -
Estimated guaranty fund assessment expense of approximately
$30 million pretax, or$0.13 per diluted common share, to support the policyholder obligations of Penn Treaty (an unaffiliated long-term care insurance company).
(c) FY16 Adjusted EPS (Recast) excludes the following:
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Operating losses of
$291 million pretax, or$1.37 per diluted common share, for the company’s Individual Commercial business given the company’s planned exit onJanuary 1, 2018 . -
Pretax transaction and integration costs of
$104 million , or$0.64 per diluted common share, associated with the then-pending transaction with Aetna. -
Pretax amortization expense associated with identifiable intangibles
of
$77 million , or$0.32 per diluted common share. -
The pretax write-off of approximately
$583 million , or$2.43 per diluted common share, in receivables associated with the risk corridor premium stabilization program. See related footnote (d). -
Pretax expenses of
$505 million , or$2.11 per diluted common share, of reserve strengthening related to the company’s non-strategic closed block of long-term care insurance business. See related footnote (e).
(d) On
(e) As noted above, in addition to previously-disclosed adjustments, EPS
for FY16 included a strengthening of reserves for the company’s
non-strategic closed block of long-term care business. In connection
with its acquisition of KMG America in 2007, the company acquired a
non-strategic closed block of long-term care insurance policies. These
policies were sold between 1995 and 2005, of which approximately 30,800
remained in force as of
(f) The company’s reserving practice is to consistently recognize the actuarial best estimate of its ultimate benefits expense. Actuarial standards require the use of assumptions based on moderately adverse experience, which generally results in favorable reserve development related to the prior year. In FY16, the company experienced prior period reserve development that exceeded what it would expect in a typical year primarily due to higher than normal claim recoveries.
Cautionary Statement
This news release includes forward‐looking statements within the meaning
of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. When used in
investor presentations, press releases,
These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future
performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions,
including, among other things, information set forth in the “Risk
Factors” section of the company’s
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The merger agreement with
Aetna Inc. has affected and may in the future, materially and adversely affect our results of operations, due to continuing liability for transaction costs, diverted management attention to transaction and integration planning efforts, customer uncertainty over when or if the merger would be completed, certain restrictions on the conduct of Humana’s business prior to termination of the merger agreement, and other uncertainties that have impaired Humana’s ability to retain, recruit and motivate key personnel. - If Humana does not design and price its products properly and competitively, if the premiums Humana receives are insufficient to cover the cost of healthcare services delivered to its members, if the company is unable to implement clinical initiatives to provide a better healthcare experience for its members, lower costs and appropriately document the risk profile of its members, or if its estimates of benefits expense are inadequate, Humana’s profitability could be materially adversely affected. Humana estimates the costs of its benefit expense payments, and designs and prices its products accordingly, using actuarial methods and assumptions based upon, among other relevant factors, claim payment patterns, medical cost inflation, and historical developments such as claim inventory levels and claim receipt patterns. We continually review estimates of future payments relating to benefit expenses for services incurred in the current and prior periods and make necessary adjustments to our reserves, including premium deficiency reserves, where appropriate. These estimates, however, involve extensive judgment, and have considerable inherent variability because they are extremely sensitive to changes in claim payment patterns and medical cost trends, so any reserves we may establish, including premium deficiency reserves, may be insufficient. In addition, there can be no guarantees that the reconsideration that Humana filed with respect to certain of the Company’s Star rating measures for the 2018 bonus year will be successful, that operational measures Humana may take will successfully mitigate any negative effects of Star quality ratings for the 2018 bonus year, or that Humana will not experience a decline in membership growth for 2017 or 2018 as a result of the Company’s 2018 bonus year Star ratings.
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If Humana fails to effectively implement its operational and strategic
initiatives, particularly its
Medicare initiatives, state-based contract strategy, and its participation in the new health insurance exchanges, the company’s business may be materially adversely affected, which is of particular importance given the concentration of the company’s revenues in these products. - If Humana fails to properly maintain the integrity of its data, to strategically implement new information systems, to protect Humana’s proprietary rights to its systems, or to defend against cyber-security attacks, the company’s business may be materially adversely affected.
- Humana is involved in various legal actions, or disputes that could lead to legal actions (such as, among other things, provider contract disputes relating to rate adjustments resulting from the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985, as amended, commonly referred to as “sequestration”; other provider contract disputes; and qui tam litigation brought by individuals on behalf of the government) and governmental and internal investigations, any of which, if resolved unfavorably to the company, could result in substantial monetary damages or changes in its business practices. Increased litigation and negative publicity could also increase the company’s cost of doing business.
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As a government contractor, Humana is exposed to risks that may
materially adversely affect its business or its willingness or ability
to participate in government healthcare programs including, among
other things, loss of material government contracts, governmental
audits and investigations, potential inadequacy of government
determined payment rates, potential restrictions on profitability,
including by comparison of profitability of the company’s
Medicare Advantage business to non-Medicare Advantage business, or other changes in the governmental programs in which Humana participates. -
The Healthcare Reform Law, including The Patient Protection and
Affordable Care Act and The Healthcare and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010, could have a material adverse effect on Humana’s results of operations, including restricting revenue, enrollment and premium growth in certain products and market segments, restricting the company’s ability to expand into new markets, increasing the company’s medical and operating costs by, among other things, requiring a minimum benefit ratio on insured products, lowering the company’sMedicare payment rates and increasing the company’s expenses associated with a non-deductible health insurance industry fee and other assessments; the company’s financial position, including the company’s ability to maintain the value of its goodwill; and the company’s cash flows. Additionally, potential legislative changes, including activities to repeal or replace, in whole or in part, the Health Care Reform Law, creates uncertainty for Humana’s business, and when, or in what form, such legislative changes may occur cannot be predicted with certainty. - Humana’s continued participation in the federal and state health insurance exchanges, which entail uncertainties associated with mix, volume of business and the operation of premium stabilization programs that are subject to federal administrative action, could adversely affect the company’s results of operations, financial position and cash flows.
- Humana’s business activities are subject to substantial government regulation. New laws or regulations, or changes in existing laws or regulations or their manner of application could increase the company’s cost of doing business and may adversely affect the company’s business, profitability and cash flows.
- If Humana fails to develop and maintain satisfactory relationships with the providers of care to its members, the company’s business may be adversely affected.
- Humana’s pharmacy business is highly competitive and subjects it to regulations in addition to those the company faces with its core health benefits businesses.
- Changes in the prescription drug industry pricing benchmarks may adversely affect Humana’s financial performance.
- If Humana does not continue to earn and retain purchase discounts and volume rebates from pharmaceutical manufacturers at current levels, Humana’s gross margins may decline.
- Humana’s ability to obtain funds from certain of its licensed subsidiaries is restricted by state insurance regulations.
- Downgrades in Humana’s debt ratings, should they occur, may adversely affect its business, results of operations, and financial condition.
- The securities and credit markets may experience volatility and disruption, which may adversely affect Humana’s business.
In making forward‐looking statements, Humana is not undertaking to address or update them in future filings or communications regarding its business or results. In light of these risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, the forward‐looking events discussed herein may or may not occur. There also may be other risks that the company is unable to predict at this time. Any of these risks and uncertainties may cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward‐looking statements.
Humana advises investors to read the following documents as filed by the
company with the
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Form 10‐K for the year ended
December 31, 2015 ; -
Form 10‐Q for the quarters ended
March 31, 2016 ,June 30, 2016 , andSeptember 30, 2016 ; - Form 8‐Ks filed during 2016 and 2017.
About Humana
More information regarding Humana is available to investors via the Investor Relations page of the company’s web site at www.humana.com, including copies of:
- Annual reports to stockholders
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Securities and Exchange Commission filings - Most recent investor conference presentations
- Quarterly earnings news releases and conference calls
- Calendar of events
- Corporate Governance information
View source version on businesswire.com: http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20170214006310/en/
Source:
Humana Investor Relations
Regina Nethery, 502-580-3644
Rnethery@humana.com
or
Humana
Corporate Communications
Tom Noland, 502-580-3674
Tnoland@humana.com